2026 Season · Week 1 · Sep 9 – Sep 14
The NFL schedule, with the math in the open.
Week 1 predictions up top, then every game on the calendar with kickoff times, live scores and a matchup chart. Tap any matchup to see exactly how the number was reached.
Strongest call on the board
72%
Jacksonville Jaguars to win · jax -6.5
Final
cle 10 · jax 34
Call hit — Jacksonville Jaguars won
Wednesday Night Kickoff
1 gameThursday Night
1 gameSunday Early Window
8 gamesBaltimore
Ravens
41
Final
41–23
Model called ithad BAL 56%
Indianapolis
Colts
23
Final · spread off by 16.5CBSLucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN
New Orleans
Saints
30
Final
30–31
Model called ithad DET 53%
Detroit
Lions
31
Final · spread off by 0.0FOXFord Field · Detroit, MI
Chicago
Bears
59
Final
59–37
Model called ithad CHI 54%
Carolina
Panthers
37
Final · spread off by 21.0FOXBank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC
Buffalo
Bills
36
Final
36–31
Model missedhad HOU 57%
Houston
Texans
31
Final · spread off by 7.0CBSReliant Stadium · Houston, TX
New York
Jets
23
Final
23–10
Model missedhad TEN 58%
Tennessee
Titans
10
Final · spread off by 15.5CBSNissan Stadium · Nashville, TN
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
27
Final
27–33
Model called ithad CIN 59%
Cincinnati
Bengals
33
Final · spread off by 3.5FOXPaycor Stadium · Cincinnati, OH
Cleveland
Browns
10
Final
10–34
Model called ithad JAX 72%
Jacksonville
Jaguars
34
Final · spread off by 17.5CBSEverBank Stadium · Jacksonville, FL
Atlanta
Falcons
13
Final
13–20
Model called ithad PIT 54%
Pittsburgh
Steelers
20
Final · spread off by 6.0FOXAcrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
Sunday Late Window
4 gamesWashington
Commanders
22
Final
22–24
Model called ithad PHI 58%
Philadelphia
Eagles
24
Final · spread off by 0.5FOXLincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
Green Bay
Packers
22
Final
22–39
Model called ithad MIN 65%
Minnesota
Vikings
39
Final · spread off by 12.5CBSU.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN
Arizona
Cardinals
26
Final
26–14
Model missedhad LAC 69%
Los Angeles
Chargers
14
Final · spread off by 17.5CBSSoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
Miami
Dolphins
13
Final
13–27
Model missedhad MIA 55%
Las Vegas
Raiders
27
Final · spread off by 15.5FOXAllegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV
Sunday Night
1 game2026 full schedule
Live from the league feedEvery game on the calendar with kickoff time and live score. The bar under each matchup is the model's price: Elo plus 25 points of home field, converted to a win probability and a spread.
Thu
1 game- FinalPrime Video · Soldier FieldSee the full calculation →NE24CHIhome30
Sun
12 games- FinalNFL Net · Stade de FranceSee the full calculation →PIT16NOhome10
- FinalFox · Mercedes-Benz StadiumSee the full calculation →SF20ATLhome29
- FinalCBS · Nissan StadiumSee the full calculation →CLE27TENhome24
- FinalCBS · U.S. Bank StadiumSee the full calculation →IND10MINhome16
- FinalCBS · MetLife StadiumSee the full calculation →MIA28NYJhome25
- FinalFox · Bank of America StadiumSee the full calculation →TB43CARhome13
- FinalCBS · M&T Bank StadiumSee the full calculation →CIN35BALhome13
- FinalFox · Reliant StadiumSee the full calculation →NYG27HOUhome21
- FinalCBS · State Farm StadiumSee the full calculation →DEN30ARIhome16
- FinalFox · Ford FieldSee the full calculation →GB17DEThome20
- FinalFox · Allegiant StadiumSee the full calculation →LAR35LVhome21
- FinalNBC · Lumen FieldSee the full calculation →KC3SEAhome20
Mon
1 game- FinalESPN · Lincoln Financial FieldSee the full calculation →DAL38PHIhome21
