2026 Season · Week 6 · Oct 15 – Oct 19
The NFL schedule, with the math in the open.
Week 6 predictions up top, then every game on the calendar with kickoff times, live scores and a matchup chart. Tap any matchup to see exactly how the number was reached.
Strongest call on the board
77%
San Francisco 49ers to win · sf -8.0
Final
wsh 17 · sf 23
Call hit — San Francisco 49ers won
Thursday Night
1 gameSunday Early Window
8 gamesHouston
Texans
34
Final
34–31
Model missedhad JAX 65%
Jacksonville
Jaguars
31
Final · spread off by 7.5NFL NetWembley Stadium · LondonNeutral site
Tennessee
Titans
26
Final
26–20
Model missedhad IND 66%
Indianapolis
Colts
20
Final · spread off by 10.5FoxLucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN
Baltimore
Ravens
10
Final
10–13
Model missedhad BAL 58%
Cleveland
Browns
13
Final · spread off by 5.0FoxHuntington Bank Field · Cleveland, OH
New Orleans
Saints
34
Final
34–27
Model missedhad NYG 64%
New York
Giants
27
Final · spread off by 11.0FoxMetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
Carolina
Panthers
25
Final
25–14
Model called ithad CAR 57%
Philadelphia
Eagles
14
Final · spread off by 9.0CBSLincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
Pittsburgh
Steelers
26
Final
26–19
Model called ithad PIT 54%
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
19
Final · spread off by 6.0CBSRaymond James Stadium · Tampa, FL
New York
Jets
19
Final
19–26
Model called ithad NE 71%
New England
Patriots
26
Final · spread off by 1.0CBSGillette Stadium · Foxborough, MA
Chicago
Bears
31
Final
31–23
Model missedhad ATL 53%
Atlanta
Falcons
23
Final · spread off by 9.0FoxMercedes-Benz Stadium · Atlanta, GA
Sunday Late Window
3 gamesArizona
Cardinals
18
Final
18–16
Model missedhad LAR 70%
Los Angeles
Rams
16
Final · spread off by 8.0FoxSoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
Los Angeles
Chargers
6
Final
6–22
Model called ithad KC 75%
Kansas City
Chiefs
22
Final · spread off by 8.5CBSArrowhead Stadium · Kansas City, MO
Buffalo
Bills
33
Final
33–30
Model called ithad BUF 62%
Las Vegas
Raiders
30
Final · spread off by 0.5CBSAllegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV
Sunday Night
1 game2026 full schedule
Live from the league feedEvery game on the calendar with kickoff time and live score. The bar under each matchup is the model's price: Elo plus 25 points of home field, converted to a win probability and a spread.
Thu
1 game- FinalPrime Video · Soldier FieldSee the full calculation →NE24CHIhome30
Sun
12 games- FinalNFL Net · Stade de FranceSee the full calculation →PIT16NOhome10
- FinalFox · Mercedes-Benz StadiumSee the full calculation →SF20ATLhome29
- FinalCBS · Nissan StadiumSee the full calculation →CLE27TENhome24
- FinalCBS · U.S. Bank StadiumSee the full calculation →IND10MINhome16
- FinalCBS · MetLife StadiumSee the full calculation →MIA28NYJhome25
- FinalFox · Bank of America StadiumSee the full calculation →TB43CARhome13
- FinalCBS · M&T Bank StadiumSee the full calculation →CIN35BALhome13
- FinalFox · Reliant StadiumSee the full calculation →NYG27HOUhome21
- FinalCBS · State Farm StadiumSee the full calculation →DEN30ARIhome16
- FinalFox · Ford FieldSee the full calculation →GB17DEThome20
- FinalFox · Allegiant StadiumSee the full calculation →LAR35LVhome21
- FinalNBC · Lumen FieldSee the full calculation →KC3SEAhome20
Mon
1 game- FinalESPN · Lincoln Financial FieldSee the full calculation →DAL38PHIhome21
