2026 Season · Week 5 · Oct 8 – Oct 12
The NFL schedule, with the math in the open.
Week 5 predictions up top, then every game on the calendar with kickoff times, live scores and a matchup chart. Tap any matchup to see exactly how the number was reached.
Strongest call on the board
at
77%
Dallas Cowboys to win · dal -8.5
Final
tb 24 · dal 16
Call missed — Tampa Bay Buccaneers won
Thursday Night
1 gameSunday Early Window
9 games
Philadelphia
Eagles
17
Final
17–19
Model called ithad JAX 75%
Jacksonville
Jaguars
19
Final · spread off by 5.5NFL NetTottenham Hotspur Stadium · LondonNeutral site
Minnesota
Vikings
23
Final
23–13
Model called ithad MIN 68%
New Orleans
Saints
13
Final · spread off by 5.0FoxCaesars Superdome · New Orleans, LA
Cleveland
Browns
12
Final
12–17
Model missedhad CLE 65%
New York
Jets
17
Final · spread off by 9.5CBSMetLife Stadium · East Rutherford, NJ
New York
Giants
27
Final
27–27
Tiehad NYG 61%
Washington
Commanders
27
Final · spread off by 3.0FoxNorthwest Stadium · Landover, MD
Cincinnati
Bengals
31
Final
31–24
Model called ithad CIN 64%
Miami
Dolphins
24
Final · spread off by 3.0FoxHard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL
Indianapolis
Colts
22
Final
22–34
Model called ithad PIT 55%
Pittsburgh
Steelers
34
Final · spread off by 10.5CBSAcrisure Stadium · Pittsburgh, PA
Houston
Texans
26
Final
26–3
Model called ithad HOU 54%
Tennessee
Titans
3
Final · spread off by 22.0CBSNissan Stadium · Nashville, TN
Las Vegas
Raiders
17
Final
17–45
Model called ithad NE 53%
New England
Patriots
45
Final · spread off by 27.0CBSGillette Stadium · Foxborough, MA
Chicago
Bears
7
Final
7–31
Model called ithad GB 55%
Green Bay
Packers
31
Final · spread off by 22.5FoxLambeau Field · Green Bay, WI
Sunday Late Window
3 games
Denver
Broncos
23
Final
23–17
Model called ithad DEN 65%
Los Angeles
Chargers
17
Final · spread off by 1.5CBSSoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
San Francisco
49ers
32
Final
32–29
Model missedhad SEA 57%
Seattle
Seahawks
29
Final · spread off by 5.0FoxLumen Field · Seattle, WA
Detroit
Lions
45
Final
45–21
Model called ithad DET 55%
Arizona
Cardinals
21
Final · spread off by 22.5FoxState Farm Stadium · Glendale, AZ
Sunday Night
1 game
2026 full schedule
Live from the league feedEvery game on the calendar with kickoff time and live score. The bar under each matchup is the model's price: Elo plus 25 points of home field, converted to a win probability and a spread.
Thu
1 game- FinalPrime Video · Soldier FieldSee the full calculation →NE24CHIhome30
Sun
12 games- FinalNFL Net · Stade de FranceSee the full calculation →PIT16NOhome10
- FinalFox · Mercedes-Benz StadiumSee the full calculation →SF20ATLhome29
- FinalCBS · Nissan StadiumSee the full calculation →CLE27TENhome24
- FinalCBS · U.S. Bank StadiumSee the full calculation →IND10MINhome16
- FinalCBS · MetLife StadiumSee the full calculation →MIA28NYJhome25
- FinalFox · Bank of America StadiumSee the full calculation →TB43CARhome13
- FinalCBS · M&T Bank StadiumSee the full calculation →CIN35BALhome13
- FinalFox · Reliant StadiumSee the full calculation →NYG27HOUhome21
- FinalCBS · State Farm StadiumSee the full calculation →DEN30ARIhome16
- FinalFox · Ford FieldSee the full calculation →GB17DEThome20
- FinalFox · Allegiant StadiumSee the full calculation →LAR35LVhome21
- FinalNBC · Lumen FieldSee the full calculation →KC3SEAhome20
Mon
1 game- FinalESPN · Lincoln Financial FieldSee the full calculation →DAL38PHIhome21