Mort's Report — Sports Data Analytics

2026 Season · Week 9 · Nov 5 – Nov 9

The NFL schedule, with the math in the open.

Week 9 predictions up top, then every game on the calendar with kickoff times, live scores and a matchup chart. Tap any matchup to see exactly how the number was reached.

How the model worksPower ratings

Strongest call on the board

at

69%

San Francisco 49ers to win · sf -5.5

See the full calculation

Thursday Night

1 game
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville
Jaguars
13-4 2025
Jacksonville Jaguars predicted to winJAX to win
64%
LeanJAX -4.0
injuries −0.0 pts
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore
Ravens
8-9 2025
Thu, 8:15 PM ESTPrime VideoM&T Bank Stadium · Baltimore, MD

Sunday Early Window

8 games
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati
Bengals
6-11 2025
Cincinnati Bengals predicted to winCIN to win
64%
LeanCIN -4.0
injuries −0.4 pts
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta
Falcons
8-9 2025
Sun, 9:30 AM ESTNFL NetSantiago Bernabéu · MadridNeutral site
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas
Cowboys
7-9-1 2025
Dallas Cowboys predicted to winDAL to win
53%
Coin flipDAL -1.0
injuries +0.2 pts
Indianapolis Colts
Indianapolis
Colts
8-9 2025
Sun, 1:00 PM ESTFoxLucas Oil Stadium · Indianapolis, IN
New York Jets
New York
Jets
3-14 2025
Kansas City Chiefs predicted to winKC to win
67%
ConfidentKC -5.0
injuries +0.2 pts
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City
Chiefs
6-11 2025
Sun, 1:00 PM ESTCBSArrowhead Stadium · Kansas City, MO
Detroit Lions
Detroit
Lions
9-8 2025
Detroit Lions predicted to winDET to win
63%
LeanDET -4.0
injuries +0.4 pts
Miami Dolphins
Miami
Dolphins
7-10 2025
Sun, 1:00 PM ESTFoxHard Rock Stadium · Miami Gardens, FL
Cleveland Browns
Cleveland
Browns
5-12 2025
New Orleans Saints predicted to winNO to win
53%
Coin flipNO -0.5
injuries −0.3 pts
New Orleans Saints
New Orleans
Saints
6-11 2025
Sun, 1:00 PM ESTCBSCaesars Superdome · New Orleans, LA
New York Giants
New York
Giants
4-13 2025
New York Giants predicted to winNYG to win
68%
ConfidentNYG -5.5
injuries −0.4 pts
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia
Eagles
11-6 2025
Sun, 1:00 PM ESTFoxLincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles
Rams
12-5 2025
Los Angeles Rams predicted to winLAR to win
57%
LeanLAR -2.0
injuries −0.0 pts
Washington Commanders
Washington
Commanders
5-12 2025
Sun, 1:00 PM ESTFoxNorthwest Stadium · Landover, MD
Denver Broncos
Denver
Broncos
14-3 2025
Denver Broncos predicted to winDEN to win
65%
ConfidentDEN -4.5
injuries −0.8 pts
Carolina Panthers
Carolina
Panthers
8-9 2025
Sun, 1:00 PM ESTCBSBank of America Stadium · Charlotte, NC

Sunday Late Window

4 games
Houston Texans
Houston
Texans
12-5 2025
Houston Texans predicted to winHOU to win
65%
ConfidentHOU -4.5
injuries −0.5 pts
Los Angeles Chargers
Los Angeles
Chargers
11-6 2025
Sun, 4:05 PM ESTCBSSoFi Stadium · Inglewood, CA
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas
Raiders
3-14 2025
San Francisco 49ers predicted to winSF to win
69%
ConfidentSF -5.5
injuries −0.3 pts
San Francisco 49ers
San Francisco
49ers
12-5 2025
Sun, 4:25 PM ESTFoxLevi's Stadium · Santa Clara, CA
Green Bay Packers
Green Bay
Packers
9-7-1 2025
New England Patriots predicted to winNE to win
57%
LeanNE -2.0
injuries +0.3 pts
New England Patriots
New England
Patriots
14-3 2025
Sun, 4:25 PM ESTFoxGillette Stadium · Foxborough, MA
Arizona Cardinals
Arizona
Cardinals
3-14 2025
Seattle Seahawks predicted to winSEA to win
65%
LeanSEA -4.5
injuries −0.1 pts
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle
Seahawks
14-3 2025
Sun, 4:25 PM ESTFoxLumen Field · Seattle, WA

Sunday Night

1 game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay
Buccaneers
8-9 2025
Chicago Bears predicted to winCHI to win
61%
LeanCHI -3.0
injuries +0.0 pts
Chicago Bears
Chicago
Bears
11-6 2025
Sun, 8:20 PM ESTNBCSoldier Field · Chicago, IL

Monday Night

1 game
Buffalo Bills
Buffalo
Bills
12-5 2025
Minnesota Vikings predicted to winMIN to win
51%
Coin flipMIN 0.0
injuries +0.4 pts
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota
Vikings
9-8 2025
Mon, 8:15 PM ESTESPN/ABCU.S. Bank Stadium · Minneapolis, MN

2026 full schedule

Live from the league feed

Every game on the calendar with kickoff time and live score. The bar under each matchup is the model's price: Elo plus 25 points of home field, converted to a win probability and a spread.

Thu

1 game

Sun

12 games

Mon

1 game